Hongdu Aviation (600316): The first three quarters of revenue have increased significantly to create a leading defense equipment
Event: The company announced the third quarter report of 2019, and the first three quarters achieved operating income17.
00 ppm, an increase of 28 per year.
17%, net profit attributable to mother-0.
800 million, a decrease of 6 every year.
03%, budget gain -0.
Opinions: (1) The company’s operating income in the first three quarters increased significantly28.
17%, the first is the increase in the number of aviation products delivered by the company’s core business.
Q3 achieved operating income of 5.
7.4 billion, down slightly by 1.
53%; (2) The company’s net profit attributable to its mother in the first three quarters of the year decreased by 6.
03%, of which Q3 attributed net profit to -0.
29 ppm, a reduction of 5 per year.
The growth rate of net profit attributable to motherhood is lower than the growth rate of revenue mainly including:
15%, mainly due to the increase in interest paid by the company to obtain bank borrowings in the current period; b) the report caused the company’s management expenses to increase by 20.
18%, mainly due to the adjustment of the performance salary distribution model, which caused increased wage costs and increased repair costs; (3) In terms of assets and liabilities, a) the company and Hongdu Group replaced related assets, resulting inEarly early total assets decreased by 32.
13%, net assets attributable to shareholders of listed companies decreased by 21.
18%, 72% reduction in fixed assets.
69%; b) the end of the accounts receivable decreased by 59 compared with the beginning of the period.
05%, mainly due to the company’s receipt of payment from customers and acceptance of bills of exchange; (4) in terms of cash flow, a) the company’s net cash flow from operating activities decreased by 175.
09%, mainly due to the increase in cash paid for the company’s purchase of goods in the current period; b) the company’s net cash flow from investment activities decreased by 36.
04%, mainly due to the decrease in cash paid for the company’s purchase and construction of long-term assets in the current period; c) The company’s net cash flow from financing activities increased by 91 each year.
35%, mainly due to the company’s annual increase in bank borrowings.
Air and sea equipment has created new requirements for L15, and multifunctional integration has adapted to new requirements.
L15 trainer is the company’s core product. According to basic training and entry combat scenarios, it is divided into various models such as L15 AJT and L15 LIFT.
In the future, the types of fighters of our army in the air and sea category (J-10 / 20/11/16, etc.) will be gradually installed. The gradual demand for flight training tasks will drive the growth of the company’s trainer business.
In addition, some L15 models have broken through the traditional flight training positioning, only supersonic speed, weapon plug-in and precision guided weapon capabilities, replacing air combat missions, and it is expected to become a supplementary model of naval aircraft carrier aircraft in the future.
Add missile assets to increase revenue from main businesses.
On May 31, 2019, the company and Hongdu Group merged the “Asset Replacement Agreement”, and the company put out the parts manufacturing business and the missile business.
Issuing new assets instead of enhancing the company’s main business profitability, while improving the asset structure, also in line with the development requirements of the future development of trainer models, and enhance the long-term competitiveness of the company.
Investment suggestion: Considering the continuous development of the company’s trainer business, the future trend will continue to grow, 深圳桑拿网 and the company’s missile business will increase the overall profitability. We predict that the company’s EPS in 2019/20/21 will be 0.
47 yuan, corresponding to PE is 56/41/30 times, the first coverage, giving the company an “overweight” rating.
Risk warning: L15 production capacity is lower than expected, and the integration of missile business is slow.